Expected area of Triangle with vertices on concentric circles.

549 Views Asked by At

Consider three concentric circles with center O and radii 1,2 and 3 respectively.

Consider point A on the circle of radius 1, B on the circle with radius 2 and C on the circle with radius 3.

  1. What is the expected area of △ABC?
  2. What is the maximum area of △ABC?

I have tried assigning complex numbers to coordinates, proceeding by fixing angles, but nothing seems to work.

1

There are 1 best solutions below

5
On

Assume uniform distribution for the point on each circle. We can fix one of the points because area is rotationally invariant. Fix the inner most point to be $(1,0)$.

Denote $x$ and $y$ the phase angles of the points on the circles with radii $2$ and $3$ respectively. Using a formula for the area of a triangle given the cartesian coordinates of its vertices we get that the expected area is

$$\frac{1}{8\pi^2}\int_0^{2\pi}\int_0^{2\pi}\left|2\sin\left(x\right)-3\sin\left(y\right)+6\cos\left(x\right)\sin\left(y\right)-6\cos\left(y\right)\sin\left(x\right)\right|dxdy$$

$$\approx 2.0829$$


UPDATE:

The formula for the area of triangle $(A, B, C)$ is

$$\frac{|A_x(B_y-C_y) + B_x(C_y-A_y) + C_x(A_y-B_y)|}{2}$$

We have $A=(1,0)$, $B=2(\cos(x), \sin(x))$ and $C=3(\cos(y), \sin(y))$. A factor of $\frac{1}{2\pi}$ comes from the uniform distribution for both $x$ and $y$. (We also assume independency.) Just place the values for the point coordinates in and the formula follows. (Notice, how the values $A_x=1$ and $A_y=0$ simplify the formula.)

For the maximum area, Wolfram Alpha gives $4.90482$ at $x=2.3882$ and $y=4.2046$. I don't know if exact forms can be found.